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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Stanford Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Ebobisse (8'), Trauco (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lowe (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 4 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Montreal
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Due to their defensive solidity, San Jose can stay unbeaten at home this season by restricting in-form Philadelphia to a low-scoring draw. The visitors boast a dangerous attack, but their hosts have shown more resilience of late and are particularly tough to beat at PayPal Park.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPhiladelphia Union
42.58% (-1.278 -1.28) 26.34% (-0.193 -0.19) 31.08% (1.47 1.47)
Both teams to score 51.88% (1.285 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.37% (1.331 1.33)52.63% (-1.332 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.72% (1.127 1.13)74.28% (-1.127 -1.13)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)24.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.05% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)58.95% (0.064 0.06)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (1.743 1.74)31.29% (-1.744 -1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (1.979 1.98)67.64% (-1.979 -1.98)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 42.57%
    Philadelphia Union 31.08%
    Draw 26.33%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.429 -0.43)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.093 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.57%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.66% (-0.412 -0.41)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.203 0.2)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.299 0.3)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.219 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.242 0.24)
0-3 @ 2% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.168 0.17)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 31.08%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Philadelphia

San Jose Earthquakes
30.8%
Draw
30.8%
Philadelphia Union
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 12.30am
Mar 14, 2020 11.30pm
Sep 26, 2019 4am
gameweek 39
Earthquakes
1-2
Philadelphia
Yueill (35')
Judson (23')
Bedoya (70'), Przybylko (76')
Wagner (7'), Medunjanin (45'), Przybylko (57')
Apr 8, 2018 12am
gameweek 6
Philadelphia
1-1
Earthquakes
Bedoya (64')
Accam (23')
Eriksson (37')
Quintana (56'), Wondolowski (82')
Cummings (96')
Aug 20, 2017 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-2
Philadelphia
Qazaishvili (3'), Wondolowski (90' pen.)
Jungwirth (13'), Godoy (34'), Thompson (73'), Wondolowski (83')
Elliott (35'), Alberg (55')
Bedoya (74'), Gaddis (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1374234201425
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati12642139422
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125521817120
4Toronto126151416-219
5New York City FCNY City125251312117
6DC United124531818017
7Columbus Crew11371129316
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC124351213-115
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532018214
10CF MontrealMontreal113441522-713
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351513212
12Nashville SCNashville112631418-412
13Orlando City113351319-612
14Chicago Fire112451119-810
15New England RevolutionNew England11218820-127

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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