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Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
San Jose Earthquakes

Colorado
2 - 3
Earthquakes

Navarro (33'), Fernandez (42')
Mihailovic (15'), Navarro (83')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Pellegrino (44'), Lopez (45+7'), Espinoza (66')
Costa (68'), Wilson (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 0-2 Colorado
Sunday, May 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Colorado Rapids 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes have certainly started to show signs of improvement after a dismal start to the season, but Colorado Rapids have been the stronger of the two sides thus far and had no trouble in cruising past the Quakes last time out. We back Chris Armas's side to again prevail on Sunday, albeit in a tougher test with the visitors growing in confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Colorado RapidsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
51.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.11% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.32% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (0.016999999999996 0.02)47.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (0.016000000000002 0.02)69.81% (-0.0089999999999861 -0.01)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.64%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (0.019000000000005 0.02)33.87% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (0.019000000000002 0.02)70.54% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Colorado Rapids 51.57%
    San Jose Earthquakes 24.32%
    Draw 24.1%
Colorado RapidsDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.44%
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 51.57%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.77%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 24.32%

How you voted: Colorado vs Earthquakes

Colorado Rapids
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-3
Colorado

Morales (32'), Marie (48'), Judd (80')
Navarro (10' pen., 60'), Bassett (80')
Bassett (37')
Jun 4, 2023 2.30am
Mar 12, 2023 3.30am
Sep 15, 2022 3am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374221111025
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461515013
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Portland TimbersPortland132562125-411
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133282028-811


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