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Major League Soccer
LA Galaxy
Major League Soccer
Apr 22, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
San Jose Earthquakes

LA Galaxy
4 - 3
Earthquakes

Pec (14'), Paintsil (24' pen.), Yoshida (30'), Puig (56')
Paintsil (7'), Vanney (8'), Puig (72')
Zavaleta (70')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Rodrigues (32'), Kikanovic (58'), Ebobisse (72' pen.)
Espinoza (45'), Gruezo (54'), Costa (65'), Skahan (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Last Game: Vancouver 1-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, April 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-3 Colorado
Sunday, April 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes

 These matches tend to produce plenty of goals, and given the defensive deficiencies of each side, we expect to see the back of the net bulge a few times on Sunday. If it turns out to be a goal-fest, as we anticipate, that will favour the Galaxy, who are firing on all cylinders and have a lot more depth in the attacking third than the Quakes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
55.24% (0.48 0.48) 22.62% (0.232 0.23) 22.13% (-0.713 -0.71)
Both teams to score 56.11% (-1.756 -1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.58% (-1.874 -1.87)43.42% (1.873 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.18% (-1.869 -1.87)65.81% (1.868 1.87)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4% (-0.492 -0.49)15.6% (0.494 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42% (-0.92 -0.92)44.58% (0.92100000000001 0.92)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-1.682 -1.68)33.51% (1.681 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-1.881 -1.88)70.15% (1.881 1.88)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 55.24%
    San Jose Earthquakes 22.13%
    Draw 22.62%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.623 0.62)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.433 0.43)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.59% (0.177 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.124 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 55.24%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.234 -0.23)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.419 0.42)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-1 @ 5.72% (0.211 0.21)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 22.13%

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs Earthquakes

Los Angeles Galaxy
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-3
LA Galaxy
Judd (69')
Akapo (35'), Judd (74')
Paintsil (18'), Joveljic (43'), Puig (48')
Delgado (29'), Brugman (90+3')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-3
LA Galaxy
Calegari (29' og.), Ebobisse (31')
Rodrigues (19'), Akapo (43'), Trauco (65'), Gruezo (75'), Marie (90+2')
Boyd (16'), Puig (50'), Joveljic (61' pen.)
Cerrillo (83'), Aude (90+9')
> Preview
Jul 2, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-2
LA Galaxy
Skahan (42'), Espinoza (81')
Espinoza (20'), Tsakiris (57'), Yueill (90+4')
Edwards (31'), Judd (47')
Edwards (39'), Calegari (78'), Aude (90+7')
> Preview
May 15, 2023 2.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Earthquakes
Caceres (60'), Joveljic (90+1')
Bouda (90+4')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
2-3
LA Galaxy
> Preview
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
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6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
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10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
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13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
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> Full Version


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