Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.08%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
55.08% ( -3.61) | 21.56% ( 1.24) | 23.36% ( 2.37) |
Both teams to score 61.53% ( -1.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.98% ( -2.94) | 37.02% ( 2.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.79% ( -3.26) | 59.21% ( 3.26) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.53% ( -1.99) | 13.47% ( 1.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.54% ( -4.14) | 40.46% ( 4.14) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% ( 0.35) | 28.89% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.24% ( 0.43) | 64.76% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.54) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.49) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.52) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.45) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.3) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.33) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.28) Other @ 3.76% Total : 55.08% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.75) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.54) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.52) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.7) 0-2 @ 3% ( 0.46) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.3% Total : 23.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |