MX23RW : Monday, May 13 19:47:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Heracles Almelo

Excelsior
4 - 0
Heracles

Parrott (45+3', 66'), Driouech (67', 90+5')
Driouech (68'), Zagre (70'), van Duinen (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sankoh (52'), Hrustic (65'), Vejinovic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-3 Nijmegen
Monday, May 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 0-5 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, May 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Heracles

There is little to choose between the sides and this weekend's clash could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeracles
60.48% (6.854 6.85) 19.84% (-1.885 -1.89) 19.67% (-4.97 -4.97)
Both teams to score 62.16% (-0.346 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.27% (2.705 2.71)33.73% (-2.707 -2.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.44% (3.015 3.02)55.55% (-3.016 -3.02)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.1% (2.817 2.82)10.9% (-2.818 -2.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.95% (5.906 5.91)35.05% (-5.906 -5.91)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (-2.679 -2.68)30.24% (2.676 2.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59% (-3.33 -3.33)66.4% (3.326 3.33)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 60.48%
    Heracles 19.67%
    Draw 19.84%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.635 0.64)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.788 0.79)
3-0 @ 5.98% (1.041 1.04)
3-2 @ 4.28% (0.176 0.18)
4-1 @ 3.97% (0.802 0.8)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.861 0.86)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.333 0.33)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.501 0.5)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.495 0.5)
5-2 @ 1.05% (0.241 0.24)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 60.48%
1-1 @ 8.74% (-0.941 -0.94)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.404 -0.4)
0-0 @ 3.29% (-0.485 -0.49)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.84%
1-2 @ 5.23% (-1.011 -1.01)
0-1 @ 3.94% (-0.929 -0.93)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.782 -0.78)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.353 -0.35)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.596 -0.6)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.409 -0.41)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 19.67%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Heracles

SBV Excelsior
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Heracles
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Heracles
3-1
Excelsior
Limbombe (54'), Hoogma (60'), Sankoh (85')
Willems (82')
Agrafiotis (19')
Lamprou (39'), Zagre (49'), Smeulers (76')
Lamprou (56')
May 21, 2022 7pm
Second Round 2nd Leg
Heracles
1-3
Excelsior
Bakis (28')
Hoogma (56')
Dallinga (47'), Wieffer (63'), Agrafiotis (83')
Horemans (43')
May 18, 2022 5.45pm
Second Round 1st Leg
Excelsior
3-0
Heracles
Azarkan (21'), Dallinga (74'), Driouech (85')

Schoofs (29')
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Heracles
4-5
Excelsior
Dalmau (23', 51', 59'), Duarte (62')
Rossmann (43')
Omarsson (4', 45', 91'), Mattheij (71'), Eckert (89')
Dec 22, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Excelsior
0-3
Heracles

Mattheij (85')
Peterson (35'), Kuwas (43'), Osman (66')
Peterson (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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