MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 15:56:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 11.15am UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
Heracles Almelo

PEC Zwolle
3 - 1
Heracles

Thy (16'), van der Water (69'), Krastev (90+3')
Namli (49'), Krastev (75'), Lam (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vejinovic (45+2')
De Keersmaecker (53'), Hrustic (89'), Bruns (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-2 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, April 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 0-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, April 14 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-2 Heracles

As shown by their respective league standings, there is little separating the teams, and this weekend's clash could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing the away side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 59.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawHeracles
59.62% (1.509 1.51) 20.38% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 20% (-1.528 -1.53)
Both teams to score 60.71% (-2.626 -2.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.14% (-2.31 -2.31)35.86% (2.307 2.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.06% (-2.588 -2.59)57.94% (2.585 2.59)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (-0.31 -0.31)11.78% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.03% (-0.665 -0.66)36.97% (0.661 0.66)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81% (-2.727 -2.73)31.19% (2.724 2.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47% (-3.296 -3.3)67.53% (3.293 3.29)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 59.62%
    Heracles 20%
    Draw 20.38%
PEC ZwolleDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.172 0.17)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.748 0.75)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.787 0.79)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.99% (0.467 0.47)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.295 -0.3)
4-1 @ 3.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.213 0.21)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.186 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.6% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.075 0.08)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 59.62%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-0 @ 3.67% (0.408 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.248 -0.25)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-1 @ 4.28% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.316 -0.32)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 20%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs Heracles

PEC Zwolle
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Heracles
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
Heracles
2-1
PEC Zwolle
Hansson (69' pen., 82')
Bruns (58')
Thy (53')
Velanas (15'), Lam (29'), Buurmeester (76')
Jan 15, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Heracles
0-3
PEC Zwolle
Lagsir (8'), Van den Belt (35'), Thy (39')
Oct 14, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 11
PEC Zwolle
3-2
Heracles
Kastaneer (27'), Thy (34', 36')
Armenteros (45+2'), Cicilia (88')
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
Oct 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
PEC Zwolle
1-0
Heracles
Van Polen (90+2' pen.)

Vloet (90+9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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