The Match
Match Report
Chancel Mbemba cancels out an opener from Gianluca Scamacca, as Marseille draw 1-1 with Atalanta BC in the first leg of their Europa League semi-final in France.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Marseille and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lens
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Empoli
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Atalanta BC |
35.96% ( -0.07) | 25.29% ( -0.01) | 38.75% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 56.66% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.96% ( 0.05) | 47.04% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.72% ( 0.05) | 69.28% ( -0.05) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.52% ( -0.02) | 25.48% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.68% ( -0.02) | 60.32% ( 0.02) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.04% ( 0.07) | 23.96% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.81% ( 0.09) | 58.19% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille 35.96%
Atalanta BC 38.75%
Draw 25.28%
Marseille | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.96% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.75% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Atalanta
Marseille
28.6%Draw
33.2%Atalanta BC
38.2%241
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 54 | 13 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | Chelsea | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 51 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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