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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
48.26% ( 0.73) | 24.16% ( 0.3) | 27.58% ( -1.02) |
Both teams to score 56.82% ( -1.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.8% ( -2) | 45.2% ( 2.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.46% ( -1.95) | 67.54% ( 1.95) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.17% ( -0.49) | 18.83% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.73% ( -0.83) | 50.27% ( 0.83) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.01% ( -1.76) | 29.99% ( 1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.89% ( -2.17) | 66.1% ( 2.18) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.65) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.29% Total : 48.26% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.47) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.16% Total : 27.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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