Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Clermont 1-5 Marseille
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Villarreal 5-1 Granada
Sunday, March 3 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 3 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Marseille 2-0 Villarreal
Villarreal won on their last trip to France earlier this season, beating Rennes 3-2, but the form of Marseille undoubtedly makes the hosts favourites in this first leg. Twelve goals in just three games since Gasset took charge has breathed a new lease of life into Marseille, and they are set to keep that positive run going here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Villarreal |
48.72% ( 0.13) | 23.07% ( -0.04) | 28.21% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 61.12% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.24% ( 0.1) | 39.76% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.88% ( 0.1) | 62.11% ( -0.1) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.43% ( 0.08) | 16.57% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.64% ( 0.15) | 46.36% ( -0.15) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.26% ( -0.02) | 26.74% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.99% ( -0.02) | 62.01% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille 48.72%
Villarreal 28.21%
Draw 23.07%
Marseille | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.72% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.19% Total : 28.21% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Villarreal
Marseille
73.4%Draw
16.8%Villarreal
9.8%173
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
11 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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