MX23RW : Sunday, May 5 18:12:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Apr 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
1 - 2
Carrick

Teggart (40')
Wallace (53'), McGuckin (87')
Garrett (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cushley (21' pen.), Allen (30')
Ward (85')
Teelan (90+3')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Loughgall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
40.86% (-0.183 -0.18) 24.1% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 35.04% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 60.79% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.38% (0.177 0.18)41.62% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.98% (0.178 0.18)64.02% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)20.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)53.06% (0.012 0.01)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (0.19500000000001 0.2)23.48% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (0.284 0.28)57.49% (-0.287 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 40.86%
    Carrick Rangers 35.04%
    Draw 24.1%
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 40.86%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.04%

Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Carrick
0-2
Glenavon

McGuckin (65'), Cherry (90+3'), Crowe (90+4'), Glendinning (90+5')
Crowe (90+5')
Snoddy (45'), Campbell (70')
Wallace (59'), Snoddy (81')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Carrick
1-3
Glenavon
Allen (38')
Forsythe (18'), Cushley (42')
Crowe (72')
Campbell (25', 42'), Quinn (67')
Rogers (19'), Baird (29'), Wallace (45'), Campbell (90')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Glenavon
2-1
Carrick
Prendergast (63'), Malone (81' pen.)
Wallace (45'), Snoddy (82'), Garrett (83'), Prendergast (90+1')
Purkis (75')
Crowe (12'), Watson (24'), Surgenor (80'), Glendinning (82')
Cherry (16')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carrick
1-3
Glenavon
Macuilaitis (62')
Doyle (32'), Fitzpatrick (50'), Henderson (90+4')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Carrick
1-1
Glenavon
Birney (70' og.)
Wallace (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LarneLarne531185216490
2LinfieldLinfield514082404285
3CliftonvilleCliftonville512280433775
4CrusadersCrusaders530261431864
5GlentoranGlentoran511374433160
6ColeraineColeraine51224769-2246
Relegation Round
1Carrick RangersCarrick54015472-1850
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon55006469-547
3Loughgall52036068-845
4GlenavonGlenavon51044570-2537
5Ballymena UnitedBallymena53022970-4128
6Newry City AFC50052699-7317
 
Regular Season
1LarneLarne33248169175280
2LinfieldLinfield33253576354178
3CliftonvilleCliftonville33224773304370
4GlentoranGlentoran33168968373156
5CrusadersCrusaders331671055361955
6ColeraineColeraine33118144157-1641
7Loughgall33116165059-939
8Carrick RangersCarrick33115174365-2238
9GlenavonGlenavon33104194060-2034
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon3388175267-1532
11Ballymena UnitedBallymena3354242063-4319
12Newry City AFC3345242283-6117


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