MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 20:07:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Frosinone logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Roma logo
Salernitana
Sassuolo logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Genoa logo

AC Milan
3 - 3
Genoa

Florenzi (45'), Gabbia (72'), Giroud (75')
Reijnders (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Retegui (5' pen.), Ekuban (48'), Thiaw (87' og.)
Vasquez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Genoa

As Milan's momentum has been lost - and several players will be absent - plucky Genoa can capitalise by extending their hosts' winless streak and taking a point back home to Liguria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawGenoa
57.32% (-0.705 -0.7) 23.12% (0.436 0.44) 19.56% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.62% (-0.92299999999999 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.17% (-1.451 -1.45)48.83% (1.449 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (-1.331 -1.33)70.93% (1.328 1.33)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.756 -0.76)16.79% (0.753 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-1.362 -1.36)46.75% (1.358 1.36)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.83% (-0.553 -0.55)39.16% (0.55099999999999 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12% (-0.521 -0.52)75.88% (0.518 0.52)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 57.31%
    Genoa 19.56%
    Draw 23.12%
AC MilanDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 10.46% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 57.31%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.383 0.38)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.271 0.27)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 19.56%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Genoa

AC Milan
82.7%
Draw
11.2%
Genoa
6.1%
98
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Genoa
0-1
AC Milan

Gilardino (10+10'), De Winter (69'), Martinez (86')
Martinez (90+13')
Pulisic (87')
Hernandez (21'), Florenzi (22'), Musah (47'), Adli (62'), Tomori (90+9')
Maignan (90+8')
Apr 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
2-0
Genoa
Leao (11'), Messias (87')
Tonali (84')

Yeboah (79'), Gudmundsson (90+4')
Jan 13, 2022 8pm
Final
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
Giroud (74'), Leao (102'), Saelemaekers (112')
Tonali (42'), Saelemaekers (115')
Skiri Oestigaard (17')
Badelj (37'), Yeboah (47'), Skiri Oestigaard (53'), Hefti (64')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan

Masiello (67'), Rovella (73')
Ibrahimovic (10'), Messias (45+2', 61')
Gabbia (32')
Apr 18, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
2-1
Genoa
Rebic (13'), Scamacca (68' og.)
Destro (37')
Goldaniga (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!