Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.17%. A draw has a probability of 17.3% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 11.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.14%), while for an Alaves win it is 0-1 (3.47%).
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
71.17% ( -2.51) | 17.26% ( 1.13) | 11.57% ( 1.37) |
Both teams to score 51.02% ( 0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.47% ( -1.44) | 38.52% ( 1.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.18% ( -1.54) | 60.81% ( 1.54) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.4% ( -0.95) | 9.6% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.91% ( -2.26) | 32.09% ( 2.26) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.43% ( 1.52) | 43.56% ( -1.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.23% ( 1.23) | 79.76% ( -1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
2-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.56) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.57) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.39) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.91% Total : 71.17% | 1-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.97% Total : 17.26% | 0-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.24% Total : 11.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |