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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Minnesota United

Atlanta
1 - 2
Minnesota Utd

Lobzhanidze (82')
Abram (20')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arriaga (54'), Oluwaseyi (60')
Arriaga (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 Minnesota United

Minnesota have hit their stride once again and will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence as they take on an out-of-sorts Atlanta side. However, the Five Stripes have been solid at home this season and we see them holding out for another share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.58%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawMinnesota United
55.58% (-0.919 -0.92) 21.09% (0.296 0.3) 23.33% (0.619 0.62)
Both teams to score 63.21% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.2% (-0.70700000000001 -0.71)34.8% (0.702 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.23% (-0.79300000000001 -0.79)56.76% (0.789 0.79)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.42% (-0.496 -0.5)12.58% (0.491 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.34% (-1.031 -1.03)38.65% (1.026 1.03)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (0.099000000000004 0.1)27.69% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (0.129 0.13)63.24% (-0.133 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 55.58%
    Minnesota United 23.33%
    Draw 21.09%
Atlanta UnitedDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.17% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 4.27% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.44% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.21% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 55.58%
1-1 @ 9.27% (0.183 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.48% (0.123 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.134 0.13)
0-1 @ 4.47% (0.171 0.17)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 23.33%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Minnesota Utd

Atlanta United
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
Minnesota United
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2020 8pm
May 30, 2019 12am
Gameweek 17
Atlanta
3-0
Minnesota Utd
Escobar (23'), Martinez (91', 94')
Robinson (29'), Escobar (83')

Opara (32'), Danladi (49')
Apr 1, 2018 1am
Gameweek 5
Minnesota Utd
0-1
Atlanta

Calvo (93')
Calvo (3' og.)
Gonzalez (1'), Guzan (91')
Gonzalez (38')
Oct 4, 2017 12am
Atlanta
2-3
Minnesota Utd
Villalba (67'), Gressel (72')
Mears (38'), Asad (79')
Reynish (60')
Danladi (48'), Ramirez (90'), Molino (90')
Martin (30'), Kallman (80'), Molino (97')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Portland TimbersPortland132562125-411
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133282028-811


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