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Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
BMO Field
Atlanta United

Toronto
2 - 0
Atlanta

Spicer (35'), Osei Owusu (71')
Long (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-1 Toronto
Saturday, March 16 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Orlando City
Sunday, March 17 at 11.15pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-1 Atlanta United

While both sides have shown to be potent in the attacking third early into the new campaign, they have also been pretty solid defensively, and we expect to see a close encounter this weekend between two sides in high spirits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
40.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.36% (0.012 0.01) 34.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.17% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42% (-0.052 -0.05)47.58% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)69.78% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)23.46% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)57.48% (0.052 0.05)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)26.61% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)61.84% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 40.18%
    Atlanta United 34.46%
    Draw 25.36%
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.18%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: Toronto vs Atlanta

Toronto
36.4%
Draw
45.5%
Atlanta United
18.2%
22
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
Atlanta
4-2
Toronto
Sanchez (47', 62', 88'), Almada (74')
Akinola (52'), Bernardeschi (67' pen.)
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Atlanta
Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 43
Atlanta
1-1
Toronto
Araujo (15')
Barco (56')
Perruzza (88')
DeLeon (17'), Lawrence (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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