Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Torino had a probability of 12.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Torino |
67.15% ( -0.31) | 20.42% ( 0.17) | 12.43% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 43.28% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.69% ( -0.33) | 50.3% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.75% ( -0.29) | 72.25% ( 0.29) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.93% ( -0.2) | 14.07% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.33% ( -0.39) | 41.66% ( 0.39) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.37% ( 0.05) | 49.63% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.6% ( 0.03) | 84.4% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 67.14% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.42% | 0-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 12.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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