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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 7, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Penarol

Caracas
vs.
Penarol

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Caracas and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Caracas 1-1 Rosario
Tuesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Penarol 3-0 River Plate
Tuesday, April 30 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Penarol
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Caracas has a probability of 30.12% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Caracas win is 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.31%).

Result
CaracasDrawPenarol
30.12% (0.198 0.2) 25.9% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 43.97% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.257 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (0.285 0.29)51.22% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.94% (0.249 0.25)73.06% (-0.251 -0.25)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75% (0.289 0.29)31.24% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.4% (0.333 0.33)67.59% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8% (0.049999999999997 0.05)23.19% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91% (0.073999999999998 0.07)57.08% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Caracas 30.12%
    Penarol 43.97%
    Draw 25.89%
CaracasDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.9% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.9% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 30.12%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 10.58% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 7.74% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.97%

Who will win Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Caracas and Penarol?

Caracas
Draw
Penarol
Caracas
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Penarol
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Penarol
5-0
Caracas
Silvera (16', 25', 64'), Mendez (32'), Darias (45')
Darias (18'), Hernandez (59')

Ortega (19')
Casiani (73')
rhs 2.0
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