MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 11:45:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Apr 28, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Centenario

Cerro
1 - 2
Nacional

Macelli (61')
Abero (36'), Rodriguez (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carneiro (40' pen.), Oliva (70')
Antoni (60'), Oliva (75')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 1-1 Cerro
Friday, April 19 at 5.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Tachira
Wednesday, April 24 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
CerroDrawNacional
29.83% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 28.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 41.95% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.87% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.97% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)60.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.74% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)80.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.91% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.08% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.87% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)28.23% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)63.94% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 29.83%
    Nacional 41.95%
    Draw 28.2%
CerroDrawNacional
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.69%
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 29.83%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 12.88%
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.43% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 41.95%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nacional
2-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (17'), Gigliotti (70')
Lozano (10'), Martinez (33')
Rodriguez (12')
Rodriguez (25'), Coronel (31'), Tizon (43'), Abero (51'), Fernandez (67')
Jun 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Nacional
Nandin (1')
Perez (45+1'), Denis (83'), Souza (90+3')
Pereiro (79')
Rodriguez (18'), Pereiro (79')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro
2-2
Nacional
Rodriguez (19'), Abero (67')
Trezza (11'), Pereiro (70')
Feb 27, 2021 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cerro
0-1
Nacional

Garcia (43'), Cabrera (71'), Bentaberry (75')
Bergessio (51')
Martinez (20'), Trezza (32'), Mendez (48'), Rochet (75'), Ocampo (76')
Sep 7, 2020 12.15am
Gameweek 10
Nacional
5-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (25', 77'), Garcia (50'), Vecino (66' pen.), Cartagena (90+2')
Cabrera (36' pen.)
Garcia (42'), Hernandez (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol119202461829
2NacionalNacional1174024111325
3ProgresoProgreso117312316724
4Defensor SportingDefensor115422113819
5Cerro Largo115331310318
6Boston RiverBoston River115331513218
7Racing de MontevideoRacing114341716115
8DanubioDanubio113441214-213
9LiverpoolLiverpool112631717012
10River PlateRiver Plate113351517-212
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers113351216-412
12Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado113261215-311
13Rampla JuniorsRampla112361023-139
14CerroCerro111551121-108
15Miramar Misiones111461523-87
16FenixFenix11047515-104


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