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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Sep 7, 2020 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
5 - 1
Cerro

Rodriguez (25', 77'), Garcia (50'), Vecino (66' pen.), Cartagena (90+2')
Vinicius (16'), Yacob (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cabrera (36' pen.)
Garcia (42'), Hernandez (50'), Cruz (61'), Bentaberry (66')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawCerro
48.02%26.62%25.36%
Both teams to score 47.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.35%56.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38%77.61%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37%23.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28%57.72%
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.08%37.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.31%74.69%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 48.01%
    Cerro 25.36%
    Draw 26.62%
NacionalDrawCerro
1-0 @ 12.92%
2-0 @ 9.32%
2-1 @ 9.04%
3-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-1 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 48.01%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 8.96%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 6.08%
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.42%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 25.36%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2019 11pm
Nacional
2-0
Cerro
Ocampo (5'), Rodriguez (91')
Vina (27')

Nunez (45'), Brasil (79'), Alonso (81')
Mar 30, 2019 7pm
Cerro
0-2
Nacional

Tancredi (53'), Diaz (77'), Porras (77')
Bergessio (16'), Rivero (86')
Fernandez (90')
Aug 11, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 4
Cerro
1-2
Nacional
Lopez (3')
Nunez (16'), Izquierdo (92'), Irrazabal (95')
Irrazabal (95')
Bergessio (75'), Viudez (77')
Castro (54')
May 13, 2018 7.30pm
Cerro
2-2
Nacional
Lopez (39', 61')
Nunez (9'), Lopez (21'), Klein (85')
Bergessio (36'), Fernandez (45')
Arismendi (67'), Bergessio (87')
Feb 25, 2018 10.30pm
Gameweek 4
Nacional
4-0
Cerro
Rolin (16'), Bergessio (44' pen., 55'), Bueno (74')
Rolin (78')

Diaz (21'), Nunez (25'), Klein (33'), Acuna (42'), Ciganda (81'), Zazpe (83')
Diaz (36')
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