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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
BMO Field
Charlotte FC

Toronto
1 - 0
Charlotte FC

Insigne (80')
Insigne (26'), Rosted (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vargas (60'), Arfield (82'), Dejaegere (86'), Kahlina (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: New England 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, March 3 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC

 Although we have only seen a sample size of Toronto in 2024, they seem to be a lot more composed off the ball than we saw a year ago, and we believe the home crowd and their experienced attacking players will give them an edge this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toronto in this match.

Result
TorontoDrawCharlotte FC
38.11% (0.457 0.46) 25.87% (0.112 0.11) 36.02% (-0.564 -0.56)
Both teams to score 54.65% (-0.412 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.38% (-0.511 -0.51)49.62% (0.513 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.36% (-0.459 -0.46)71.64% (0.462 0.46)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (0.013000000000005 0.01)25.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)60.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (-0.56500000000001 -0.57)26.66% (0.567 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-0.754 -0.75)61.9% (0.756 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 38.11%
    Charlotte FC 36.02%
    Draw 25.86%
TorontoDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.196 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.11%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 36.02%

How you voted: Toronto vs Charlotte FC

Toronto
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Charlotte FC
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
3-0
Toronto
Swiderski (8' pen., 45+2' pen.), Dejaegere (56')

Bradley (26'), Mbongue (45+6')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
Charlotte FC
Bernardeschi (6'), Bradley (44')
Bender (51'), Jozwiak (70')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 1.10am
Charlotte FC
0-2
Toronto

Fuchs (10'), Jozwiak (83')
Insigne (49'), Bernardeschi (66')
> Preview
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
4-0
Charlotte FC
Osorio (4'), Bradley (10', 45+2'), Bernardeschi (31')
Kaye (67')

Fuchs (65')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Austin FCAustin104331413115
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
7Houston DynamoHouston841398113
8Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113
> Full Version


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