Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Moreirense |
26.06% ( -0.33) | 25.83% ( -0.15) | 48.11% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 50.3% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.82% ( 0.37) | 53.18% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.25% ( 0.32) | 74.75% ( -0.32) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.58% ( -0.08) | 35.42% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.82% ( -0.08) | 72.18% ( 0.08) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% ( 0.37) | 22.11% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.51% ( 0.56) | 55.48% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 26.06% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 48.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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