Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Barcelona |
43.97% ( -1.75) | 23.6% ( 0.44) | 32.42% ( 1.31) |
Both teams to score 61.77% ( -0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.01% ( -1.54) | 39.99% ( 1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.64% ( -1.61) | 62.35% ( 1.6) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.48% ( -1.31) | 18.51% ( 1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.26% ( -2.26) | 49.73% ( 2.25) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.8% ( 0.03) | 24.19% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.47% ( 0.05) | 58.52% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Barcelona |
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.56% Total : 43.97% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |