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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 5, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Alaves logo

Valencia
vs.
Alaves

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 4-2 Valencia
Monday, April 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 3-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We say: Valencia 2-0 Alaves

Valencia are in need of a win this weekend after two disappointing results, but Alaves are capable of making this a tricky match. That said, we are expecting Los Che to get the job done in front of their own fans, with Hugo Duro potentially adding to the 13 league goals that he has managed this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Valencia win with a probability of 43.09%. A draw has a probability of 29.8% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 27.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.21%), while for an Alaves win it is 0-1 (11.13%).

Result
ValenciaDrawAlaves
43.09% (-1.33 -1.33) 29.78% (0.379 0.38) 27.12% (0.95 0.95)
Both teams to score 40.55% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.03% (-0.699 -0.7)65.97% (0.699 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.44% (-0.484 -0.48)84.56% (0.483 0.48)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47% (-1.087 -1.09)30.53% (1.086 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25% (-1.308 -1.31)66.75% (1.307 1.31)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.37% (0.434 0.43)41.63% (-0.435 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.88% (0.377 0.38)78.11% (-0.378 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 43.09%
    Alaves 27.12%
    Draw 29.77%
ValenciaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 15.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.95% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 43.09%
1-1 @ 13.21% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 12.7% (0.32 0.32)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.77%
0-1 @ 11.13% (0.41 0.41)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.236 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 27.12%

Who will win Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Alaves?

Valencia
Draw
Alaves
Valencia
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Alaves
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Alaves
1-0
Valencia
Ozkacar (6' og.)
Guridi (38'), Gorosabel (45+2'), Guevara (82'), Benavidez (89'), Garcia (90+5')

Gaya (45+2'), Diakhaby (86')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 24
Alaves
2-1
Valencia
N'Diaye (14'), Joselu (76' pen.)
Tenaglia (37'), Pina (45+2'), Escalante (61'), Laguardia (90+7')
Guedes (62' pen.)
Diakhaby (76'), Lato (84'), Gil (88')
Aug 27, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 3
Valencia
3-0
Alaves
Wass (3'), Soler (45+2'), Guedes (60')
Diakhaby (86')

Lejeune (28'), N'Diaye (45'), Pacheco (61'), Miazga (61')
Apr 24, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Valencia
1-1
Alaves
Gaya (89')
Gaya (4'), Guillamon (37'), Vallejo (81'), Soler (83')
Guidetti (84')
Calleja Revilla (49')
Lopez (87')
Nov 22, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 10
Alaves
2-2
Valencia
Navarro (2'), Perez (16' pen.)
Lejeune (37')
Vallejo (72'), Guillamon (77')
Guillamon (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe341013114147-643
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
13Sevilla33911134246-438
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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