Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Las Palmas |
62.71% ( -0.14) | 21.53% ( 0.05) | 15.76% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.31% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.85% ( -0.05) | 48.15% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.69% ( -0.05) | 70.31% ( 0.05) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.24% ( -0.06) | 14.76% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57% ( -0.12) | 43% ( 0.12) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.67% ( 0.09) | 43.33% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.44% ( 0.07) | 79.57% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 12.23% 2-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 62.7% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 15.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |