Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-2 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Las Palmas |
72.38% ( 0.11) | 16.25% ( -0.05) | 11.37% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.25% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.92% ( 0.13) | 34.08% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.05% ( 0.15) | 55.95% ( -0.14) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.8% ( 0.06) | 8.2% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.28% ( 0.14) | 28.71% ( -0.14) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.09% ( 0) | 40.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.53% ( 0) | 77.47% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Las Palmas |
2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 72.38% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.25% | 1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 11.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |