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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Southampton logo

Leeds
vs.
Southampton

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 4-0 Leeds
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 58.72%. A win for Southampton has a probability of 21.4% and a draw has a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Southampton win is 1-2 (5.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.44%).

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawSouthampton
58.72% (-0.216 -0.22) 19.88% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 21.4% (0.175 0.18)
Both teams to score 64.99% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.67% (0.073000000000008 0.07)31.33% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.22% (0.085000000000001 0.09)52.78% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)10.62% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.56% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)34.43% (0.067 0.07)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (0.191 0.19)27.29% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (0.249 0.25)62.73% (-0.252 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 58.72%
    Southampton 21.4%
    Draw 19.88%
Leeds UnitedDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.5% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.45% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.59% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.58% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.16%
4-3 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 58.72%
1-1 @ 8.44%
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.99% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.88%
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.44% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 21.4%

Who will win Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds and Southampton?

Leeds United
Draw
Southampton
Leeds United
100%
Draw
0.0%
Southampton
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Southampton
3-1
Leeds
Armstrong (2', 35'), Smallbone (31')
Armstrong (12'), Smallbone (18'), Bednarek (37'), Charles (76')
Struijk (58')
Kamara (33')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Leeds
1-0
Southampton
Firpo (77')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Southampton
2-2
Leeds
Aribo (72'), Walker-Peters (81')
Salisu (78')
Rodrigo (46', 60')
Harrison (43'), Kristensen (45'), Aaronson (90+3')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Leeds
1-1
Southampton
Harrison (29')
Ayling (58'), Marsch (90+3')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Southampton
1-0
Leeds
Broja (53')
Bednarek (75'), McCarthy (83')

Roberts (47'), Struijk (58'), Llorente (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Ipswich TownIpswich452712690573393
3Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4517131569571264
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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