Championship | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton3 - 1Leeds
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Watford
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Southampton 0-2 Leeds United
Southampton are yet to fully hit their stride under Russell Martin, and pressure is certainly growing around St Mary's, while their visitors are quickly building momentum and appear to be more proficient at both ends of the pitch than the Saints. We fancy Farke's side to put up another clean sheet and return to Yorkshire with three more points on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Leeds United |
29.47% ( -2.68) | 23.39% ( 0.22) | 47.14% ( 2.46) |
| Both teams to score 60.9% ( -2.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
