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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2023 at 12pm UK
The Den
Leeds logo

Millwall
0 - 3
Leeds

FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Millwall and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Leeds United

With both teams having improved in recent matches, this should prove to be a competitive contest, one that the home side will fancy their chances of winning. However, despite Leeds remaining in a transitional period under Farke, we expect their greater firepower to come through at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawLeeds United
40.68% (-0.518 -0.52) 27.06% (0.894 0.89) 32.26% (-0.372 -0.37)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-2.908 -2.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.87% (-3.667 -3.67)55.12% (3.668 3.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.62% (-3.109 -3.11)76.37% (3.112 3.11)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (-1.944 -1.94)26.62% (1.946 1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15% (-2.647 -2.65)61.85% (2.649 2.65)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (-2.098 -2.1)31.74% (2.099 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-2.477 -2.48)68.17% (2.479 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 40.68%
    Leeds United 32.26%
    Draw 27.06%
MillwallDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.95 0.95)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.316 -0.32)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.32 -0.32)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.68%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.39 0.39)
0-0 @ 8.45% (1.136 1.14)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.422 -0.42)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.803 0.8)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.156 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.282 -0.28)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.26%

How you voted: Millwall vs Leeds

Millwall
27.6%
Draw
20.7%
Leeds United
51.7%
29
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Hernandez (34', 83'), Ayling (71')
Cooper (55'), Jansson (65'), Clarke (94')
Thompson (10'), Marshall (55' pen.)
Meredith (7'), Cooper (30'), Marshall (74'), Martin (82')
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 7
Millwall
1-1
Leeds
Wallace (55')
Wallace (59')
Harrison (89')
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Leeds
3-4
Millwall
Lasogga (46', 62'), Roofe (55')
Jansson (41'), Alioski (58'), Phillips (86')
Cooper (37')
O'Brien (18'), Gregory (42'), Elliott (87'), Wallace (90')
Hutchinson (51'), Elliott (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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