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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Stoke logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Stoke

Nisbet (38')
Saville (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Laurent (18'), Wilmot (33'), Hoever (35'), Pearson (51'), McNally (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Millwall
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Watford
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Stoke City

At some point, the assumption is that this Millwall squad will eventually start to click and make a playoff push. For now, though, we can only back a Stoke side who have settled well, and their extra firepower could prove key in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawStoke City
31.96% (-0.19 -0.19) 27.13% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 40.9% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 49.77% (-0.311 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-0.367 -0.37)55.49% (0.366 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.301 -0.3)76.67% (0.3 0.3)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (-0.322 -0.32)32.14% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (-0.367 -0.37)68.62% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (-0.111 -0.11)26.66% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (-0.149 -0.15)61.91% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 31.96%
    Stoke City 40.9%
    Draw 27.13%
MillwallDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.96%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.49% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40.9%

How you voted: Millwall vs Stoke

Millwall
0.0%
Draw
30.0%
Stoke City
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Millwall
2-0
Stoke
Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Millwall
2-1
Stoke
Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 40
Stoke
1-2
Millwall
Brown (41')
Batth (37')
Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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