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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Leeds logo

Ipswich
3 - 4
Leeds

Rodon (7' og.), Broadhead (45+7'), Chaplin (90+7')
Morsy (45+5'), Luongo (56'), Woolfenden (87')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Rutter (10'), Gnonto (14'), Piroe (19'), Sinisterra (75')
Shackleton (52'), Meslier (59'), Ayling (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Leeds United

It is hard to look past this Ipswich Town side at present, particularly on home turf, given the momentum they hold under Kieran McKenna, and while Leeds do still possess plenty of quality and will travel desperate for a result, we back the Tractor Boys to make it four wins on the bounce on their return to the Championship. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawLeeds United
58.85% (1.485 1.49) 21.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 19.97% (-1.467 -1.47)
Both teams to score 57.77% (-2.318 -2.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.32% (-1.966 -1.97)39.68% (1.962 1.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97% (-2.074 -2.07)62.03% (2.069 2.07)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.79% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)13.2% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.07% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)39.93% (0.393 0.39)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-2.515 -2.52)33.44% (2.511 2.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-2.852 -2.85)70.07% (2.848 2.85)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 58.85%
    Leeds United 19.97%
    Draw 21.18%
Ipswich TownDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.681 0.68)
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.733 0.73)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.419 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.253 -0.25)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.191 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 58.85%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.391 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.18%
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-1 @ 4.84% (0.115 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.271 -0.27)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 19.97%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Leeds

Ipswich Town
64.7%
Draw
13.7%
Leeds United
21.6%
51
Head to Head
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Ipswich
3-2
Leeds
Downes (30'), Dozzell (47'), Quaner (90')
Jackson (75'), Nsiala (84')
Chambers (79')
Klich (45'), Dallas (76')
Casilla (28')
Oct 24, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Leeds
2-0
Ipswich
Roofe (22'), Cooper (66')
Berardi (15')

Nolan (5'), Downes (31'), Knudsen (50')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Ipswich
1-0
Leeds
Celina (67')
Connolly (55'), Iorfa (60')

Jansson (80'), Phillips (87')
O'Kane (37')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Leeds
3-2
Ipswich
Lasogga (13'), Phillips (32'), Bialkowski (67' og.)
Cooper (72')
McGoldrick (30'), Garner (71')
Spence (3'), Knudsen (37')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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