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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Watford logo

Leeds
3 - 0
Watford

Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Leeds
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 West Brom
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Watford

Both sides possess plenty of quality and are bound to cause one another problems, and despite the hosts being yet to put a winning streak together, we see it as being only a matter of time for Farke's men and fancy them to kick off with an impressive victory at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
48.94% (2.563 2.56) 25.01% (0.092000000000002 0.09) 26.05% (-2.657 -2.66)
Both teams to score 52.77% (-2.372 -2.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (-2.149 -2.15)49.93% (2.146 2.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.08% (-1.947 -1.95)71.92% (1.944 1.94)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.224 0.22)20.43% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (0.356 0.36)52.87% (-0.359 -0.36)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-3.179 -3.18)33.68% (3.175 3.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (-3.616 -3.62)70.33% (3.613 3.61)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 48.93%
    Watford 26.05%
    Draw 25.01%
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.92% (0.985 0.98)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.68% (0.841 0.84)
3-1 @ 5% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.474 0.47)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.199 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.93%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.58 0.58)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.386 -0.39)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.534 -0.53)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.367 -0.37)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.425 -0.43)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.322 -0.32)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.28 -0.28)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.05%

How you voted: Leeds vs Watford

Leeds United
72.4%
Draw
20.7%
Watford
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Watford
0-3
Leeds

Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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