Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leeds United in this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Watford |
45.49% | 25.72% | 28.79% |
Both teams to score 52.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.9% | 51.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.04% | 72.96% |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.57% | 22.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.05% | 55.95% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% | 32.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.37% | 68.64% |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.21% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.18% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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