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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Coventry City

Southampton
2 - 1
Coventry

Walker-Peters (18'), Adams (38')
Downes (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bidwell (68')
Latibeaudiere (3'), Eccles (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Southampton 2-2 Coventry City

Southampton are unlikely to fire a blank in front of goal in back-to-back matches, but the Saints' defensive fragility always gives their opposition a chance going the other way. Coventry have showcased their ability to produce shock results on the road in recent times, and we reckon that the Sky Blues will force a share of the spoils on the South Coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawCoventry City
54.28% (-3.152 -3.15) 21.58% (1.099 1.1) 24.13% (2.056 2.06)
Both teams to score 62.42% (-1.29 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.71% (-2.873 -2.87)36.28% (2.875 2.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.59% (-3.213 -3.21)58.41% (3.216 3.22)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (-1.85 -1.85)13.46% (1.852 1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (-3.847 -3.85)40.45% (3.85 3.85)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (0.051999999999992 0.05)27.87% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (0.066000000000003 0.07)63.48% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 54.29%
    Coventry City 24.13%
    Draw 21.58%
SouthamptonDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.545 0.55)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.44 -0.44)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.275 -0.28)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.476 -0.48)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.376 -0.38)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.3 -0.3)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.301 -0.3)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.708 0.71)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.511 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.46 0.46)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.658 0.66)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.424 0.42)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.2 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.183 0.18)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 24.13%

How you voted: Southampton vs Coventry

Southampton
36.8%
Draw
28.9%
Coventry City
34.2%
76
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Coventry
1-1
Southampton
Wright (50')
Palmer (90+1')
Edozie (67')
Walker-Peters (37'), Martin (38'), Bednarek (70'), Aribo (90+5')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Southampton
2-1
Coventry
Armstrong (63'), Walker-Peters (112')
Valery (78'), Walker-Peters (113')
Gyokeres (22')
Eccles (41'), Hamer (45+2'), Sheaf (58'), Kane (105'), Clarke-Salter (117')
Apr 28, 2012 12.30pm
Nov 5, 2011 3pm
Oct 28, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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