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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Coventry City

Watford
1 - 2
Coventry

Porteous (20')
Hoedt (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wright (40' pen., 72')
Kelly (19'), Palmer (23'), Bidwell (45+1'), Thomas (66'), Wright (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Swansea
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Coventry City

Having not won at Vicarage Road since November 25, Watford are devoid of confidence on their own patch but possess the quality to earn a result this weekend. Coventry have alternated lacklustre displays with handsome victories over the past fortnight - we are expecting something in the middle of those two extremes from the Sky Blues on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCoventry City
38.73% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 25.48% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 35.79% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.98% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.09% (0.035000000000004 0.04)47.91% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.91% (0.034000000000002 0.03)70.09% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (0.037999999999997 0.04)24.36% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (0.053000000000004 0.05)58.77% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 38.73%
    Coventry City 35.79%
    Draw 25.47%
WatfordDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.73%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 35.79%

How you voted: Watford vs Coventry

Watford
31.7%
Draw
26.7%
Coventry City
41.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Coventry
3-3
Watford
Van Ewijk (41'), Hoedt (64' og.), Godden (87')
Eccles (24'), McFadzean (60'), Sheaf (76')
Rajovic (35', 79'), Martins (52')
Porteous (30'), Sierralta (40'), Hoedt (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Coventry
2-2
Watford
Godden (58'), Sheaf (72')
Pedro (6'), Louza (45+1')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 6, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Coventry
0-0
Watford
Sierralta (24'), Gray (29')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Watford
3-2
Coventry
Gray (54'), Troost-Ekong (66'), Sarr (83' pen.)
Femenia (62')
Hamer (63'), Walker (64')
Skiri Oestigaard (55'), O'Hare (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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