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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2024 at 12pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Millwall logo

Coventry
2 - 1
Millwall

Wright (67' pen., 70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Esse (12')
Esse (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 2-1 Millwall

Having pushed Hull last time out, Millwall will feel that they can do the same against the Sky Blues. Nevertheless, we are backing Coventry to bounce back from their recent league disappointments with a hard-earned triumph over the Lions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Coventry City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Coventry City.

Result
Coventry CityDrawMillwall
54.13% (0.32700000000001 0.33) 24.92% (-0.145 -0.15) 20.95% (-0.184 -0.18)
Both teams to score 47.39% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.8% (0.35 0.35)54.2% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (0.293 0.29)75.6% (-0.29299999999999 -0.29)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (0.27 0.27)19.99% (-0.269 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.82% (0.433 0.43)52.17% (-0.433 -0.43)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23% (0.010999999999996 0.01)40.77% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (0.010999999999999 0.01)77.34% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 54.13%
    Millwall 20.95%
    Draw 24.92%
Coventry CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.67% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 54.13%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 20.95%

How you voted: Coventry vs Millwall

Coventry City
75.9%
Draw
13.0%
Millwall
11.1%
54
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Millwall
0-3
Coventry

Saville (22'), Wallace (76')
Godden (30'), Sakamoto (67'), Sheaf (88')
Thomas (86')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Millwall
3-2
Coventry
Cooper (36'), Honeyman (53'), Saville (85')
Shackleton (18'), Burey (30'), Afobe (62'), McNamara (68')
McFadzean (2'), Godden (28')
Hamer (37'), Bidwell (64'), McFadzean (82')
Hamer (67')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Coventry
0-1
Millwall

Kane (71')
Bradshaw (79')
Bradshaw (56')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
1-1
Coventry
Saville (21')
Saville (52'), Wallace (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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