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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
The Den
Middlesbrough logo

Millwall
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Bryan (10')
Honeyman (45+4'), Longman (51'), Bryan (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Engel (38'), Jones (58'), Forss (90+5')
Engel (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Millwall 1-1 Middlesbrough

The high of beating Chelsea could have varying effects on Boro, something that Carrick will be aware of. Millwall are a team in form right now and that may lead to the two teams playing out a competitive draw at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
26.25% (0.168 0.17) 24.5% (-0.055 -0.05) 49.24% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.57% (0.33 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (0.365 0.37)47.66% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (0.337 0.34)69.85% (-0.337 -0.34)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.33 0.33)32.3% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.37 0.37)68.8% (-0.37 -0.37)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.094999999999999 0.09)19.4% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (0.157 0.16)51.21% (-0.159 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 26.25%
    Middlesbrough 49.24%
    Draw 24.5%
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.08% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 4% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.51% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 26.25%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-2 @ 8.43% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.21% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.14% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 49.24%

How you voted: Millwall vs Middlesbrough

Millwall
52.2%
Draw
13.0%
Middlesbrough
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
0-1
Millwall

Howson (80')
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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