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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Swansea
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Lowe (59')
Tymon (62'), Paterson (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Greenwood (43'), Silvera (78')
Howson (64'), Jones (67'), Latte Lath (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Hull City
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Swansea have the momentum heading into this contest and their supporters will expect another strong result. However, Boro have reached a point under Carrick where they need another winning run, and that extra determination may see them get back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.52%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
37.47% (-0.629 -0.63) 23.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 39.18% (0.607 0.61)
Both teams to score 63.98% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39% (-0.136 -0.14)37.61% (0.135 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.15% (-0.145 -0.14)59.84% (0.145 0.15)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (-0.36 -0.36)20.41% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (-0.57599999999999 -0.58)52.85% (0.575 0.58)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (0.221 0.22)19.61% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44% (0.358 0.36)51.55% (-0.359 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 37.47%
    Middlesbrough 39.18%
    Draw 23.34%
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.36% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.47%
1-1 @ 10.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.58% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.64% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.078 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 39.18%

How you voted: Swansea vs Middlesbrough

Swansea City
27.3%
Draw
31.8%
Middlesbrough
40.9%
22
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swansea
1-3
Middlesbrough
Piroe (15')
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swansea
1-1
Middlesbrough
Obafemi (48')
Wolf (84'), Christie (87')
McGree (46')
Bamba (82')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
1-0
Swansea
Jones (26')
McNair (70')

Paterson (45')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Swansea
2-1
Middlesbrough
Ayew (40', 90+7' pen.)
Manning (64'), Guehi (71')
Morsy (90+1')
Bolasie (39'), Saville (47'), Morsy (87'), Howson (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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