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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Swansea logo

Rotherham
1 - 2
Swansea

Nombe (64')
Ayala (12'), Rathbone (79'), Hall (86')
Ayala (17')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Patino (45'), Yates (73')
Darling (18'), Lowe (39'), Humphreys (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Swansea City

With their position in the fight for survival quickly worsening, Rotherham will be desperate to return to winning ways on home turf on Saturday, but Swansea City boast more quality than their hosts, and both ticking over under temporary stewardship, we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome at the New York Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawSwansea City
29.09% (0.26 0.26) 24.33% (0.093 0.09) 46.58% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 57.37% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (-0.262 -0.26)44.98% (0.26199999999999 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.67% (-0.252 -0.25)67.33% (0.253 0.25)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (0.049999999999997 0.05)28.79% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (0.060000000000002 0.06)64.64% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.25 -0.25)19.43% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)51.27% (0.414 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 29.09%
    Swansea City 46.58%
    Draw 24.33%
Rotherham UnitedDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.043 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.97% (0.088 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.09%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.17% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.11% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 46.58%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Swansea

Rotherham United
37.5%
Draw
18.8%
Swansea City
43.8%
16
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 34
Swansea
1-1
Rotherham
Piroe (42')
Ogbene (52')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Rotherham
1-1
Swansea
Ogbene (16')
Bramall (90+3')
Darling (38')
Sorinola (55'), Piroe (80')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Rotherham
1-3
Swansea
Ladapo (65')
Wood (35')
Hourihane (28'), Grimes (38'), Fulton (74')
Ayew (9')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
1-0
Rotherham
Grimes (28')
Bennett (32')

Barlaser (45+1')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Swansea
4-3
Rotherham
McBurnie (36', 79'), McKay (50'), Byers (69')
Ihiekwe (10'), Crooks (38'), Vaulks (83')
Ajayi (13')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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