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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Rotherham logo

Watford
5 - 0
Rotherham

Rajovic (10', 45+4'), Kayembe (54'), Ince (86'), Martins (90+4')
Porteous (58'), Asprilla (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cafu (45'), Taylor (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Watford
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Rotherham United

Rotherham may benefit from Watford pushing for maximum points in this fixture, freeing up space at the back. However, the Hornets' superior quality should shine through, particularly at Vicarage Road when they are aware that draws are becoming less valuable. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.41%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawRotherham United
66.21% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 20.95% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 12.85% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 42.93% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.54% (-0.109 -0.11)51.46% (0.115 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.73% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)73.27% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)14.73% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.05% (-0.108 -0.11)42.95% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.35% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)49.65% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.59% (-0.016 -0.02)84.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 66.2%
    Rotherham United 12.85%
    Draw 20.95%
WatfordDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 14% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 13.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 8.56% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.1% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 66.2%
1-1 @ 9.81% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.033 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.95%
0-1 @ 5.12% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 12.85%

How you voted: Watford vs Rotherham

Watford
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Rotherham United
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Rotherham
1-1
Watford
Wood (2')
Harding (18'), Peltier (27'), Wiles (32')
Issouf Bayo (33')
Asprilla (41'), Kayembe (66')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Rotherham
1-4
Watford
Ladapo (68')
Sierralta (9'), Sarr (26'), Sema (39'), Gosling (69')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Watford
2-0
Rotherham
Kabasele (4'), Deeney (15')

Jones (67'), Ihiekwe (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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