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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Swansea logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Swansea

Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Swansea City

Stoke have been very poor of late but have the chance to put things right quickly in front of their home supporters against a Swansea side who are also without permanent management. There was a real embrace between the players and the Swans faithful following the win at Rotherham, and we feel that the slight feel-good factor under Sheehan could help them to a point on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
38.13% (0.158 0.16) 25.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 36.48% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 56.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.64%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (0.085999999999999 0.09)24.46% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (0.12 0.12)58.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)25.37% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.124 -0.12)60.16% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 38.13%
    Swansea City 36.48%
    Draw 25.38%
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.13%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 36.48%

How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea

Stoke City
46.4%
Draw
17.9%
Swansea City
35.7%
28
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 34
Stoke
1-2
Swansea
Powell (6')
Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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