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Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Middlesbrough logo

Leeds
3 - 2
Middlesbrough

James (5'), Summerville (7'), Piroe (38' pen.)
Rutter (41'), James (45+6')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Latte Lath (3', 45')
Howson (37'), Clarke (37'), Dijksteel (45+5'), Jones (54'), Crooks (67'), Rogers (83')
Dijksteel (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Swansea
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-2 Middlesbrough

Many will argue that these are two of the best teams in the Championship and we are not going to argue. It leads us to predict a thrilling encounter, one which may go back and forth before they settle on a share of the spoils, a result that would suit neither team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
42.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.47% (0.004999999999999 0) 33.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)38.87% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)61.18% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)18.55% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)49.81% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)22.9% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)56.66% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 42.78%
    Middlesbrough 33.75%
    Draw 23.46%
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.75%

How you voted: Leeds vs Middlesbrough

Leeds United
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Middlesbrough
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Feb 9, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 31
Middlesbrough
1-1
Leeds
Wing (47')
Saville (59'), Howson (98')
Phillips (101')
Jansson (103')
Aug 31, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Leeds
0-0
Middlesbrough
Saiz (34'), Douglas (53'), Berardi (73'), Cooper (78')
Besic (55'), Clayton (62'), Ayala (80'), Flint (90')
Mar 2, 2018 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
3-0
Leeds
Bamford (31', 36', 68')
Leadbitter (34')

Saiz (34'), Anita (41'), Cooper (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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