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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Stoke logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 2
Stoke


McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Leeds
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke City

While Stoke deserve credit for their last two victories, facing the in-form team in the division on away territory is a different level of task. We expect Boro to continue on their way, recording another win that could see them move into the top six. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
48.68% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.65% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 27.67% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.66% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19% (-0.052 -0.05)42.81% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)65.21% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)17.74% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)48.42% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)28.68% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)64.5% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.68%
    Stoke City 27.67%
    Draw 23.64%
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.64%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.36% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Middlesbrough
76.2%
Draw
14.3%
Stoke City
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
0-0
Middlesbrough
Batth (35'), Smith (72')
Dijksteel (10')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
3-0
Stoke
Hall (21'), McNair (40'), Mendez-Laing (88')

Powell (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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