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Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Cardiff

Jones (56'), Latte Lath (84')
Greenwood (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Grant (32'), Ng (36'), Goutas (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff City

Middlesbrough's newfound mettle will be put to the test and then some on Tuesday night, and Carrick's backline are unlikely to walk away unscathed, especially with their ongoing crisis on the left-hand side. However, Cardiff have also been prone to defensive collapses on rival turf this season, and an entertaining draw could prolong the feel-good factor around the Riverside Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
56.82% (0.108 0.11) 22.12% (-0.216 -0.22) 21.05% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 56.24% (0.884 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (1.098 1.1)42.51% (-1.103 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.08% (1.085 1.09)64.92% (-1.092 -1.09)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.40600000000001 0.41)14.77% (-0.411 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (0.778 0.78)43.01% (-0.783 -0.78)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98% (0.723 0.72)34.01% (-0.728 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3% (0.775 0.78)70.69% (-0.78 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 56.82%
    Cardiff City 21.05%
    Draw 22.12%
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.115 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.049 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 56.82%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.106 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.05%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Middlesbrough
50.0%
Draw
17.6%
Cardiff City
32.4%
34
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Cardiff
1-3
Middlesbrough
Kaba (25')
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-3
Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
Apr 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')
Oct 23, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pack (28'), McGuinness (34'), Flint (70')
Sporar (35' pen.), Payero (74')
Ikpeazu (38')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Middlesbrough
1-1
Cardiff
McNair (82')
Morrison (37')
Vaulks (30'), Bennett (57'), Ng (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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