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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Middlesbrough logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Szmodics (31', 49')
Carter (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Crooks (55')
Lenihan (40'), Hackney (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Middlesbrough

With Carrick having had some prolonged time on the training pitch, he will hope that Boro return to action with more confidence than they entered the international break. Nevertheless, Blackburn appear more capable of winning this fixture, albeit in what should prove to be a competitive game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
35.08% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 25.37% (0.0010000000000012 0) 39.56% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.26% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.71% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.31% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)23.75% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)57.89% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 35.08%
    Middlesbrough 39.56%
    Draw 25.36%
Blackburn RoversDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 35.08%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 39.56%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers
61.8%
Draw
29.4%
Middlesbrough
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Blackburn
1-2
Middlesbrough
Hedges (5')
Forss (46'), McGree (56')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
1-2
Blackburn
Watmore (45+1')
Lenihan (4' og.), Gallagher (17')
Jan 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Blackburn
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gallagher (76')
Nyambe (37'), Travis (50'), Wharton (90'), Edun (90+11')

Taylor (4'), Crooks (15'), Connolly (26'), Tavernier (29'), McNair (90+3'), Jones (90+9')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Middlesbrough
1-1
Blackburn
Howson (36')
Olusanya (87')
Morsy (81')
Gallagher (17')
Carter (19'), Travis (87'), Dolan (90+4')
Carter (79')
Jan 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 26
Middlesbrough
0-1
Blackburn

Morsy (57'), Tavernier (81'), Bola (88')
Rothwell (63')
Davenport (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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