Moreirense have been the better side across the course of the season, and the majority of their good work has been done on their home patch, where they are unbeaten in their last three matches. The visitors, on the other hand, have the league's worst away record this term, and we feel they will come away from this trip to Moreira de Conegos empty-handed.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
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