Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Portimonense |
37.74% | 29.54% | 32.71% |
Both teams to score 43.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.2% | 63.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.96% | 83.04% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.41% | 32.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.87% | 69.13% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.02% | 35.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.24% | 72.76% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 13.14% 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.74% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.53% | 0-1 @ 11.98% 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.99% Total : 32.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
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