Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 42%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Portimonense |
42% ( 0.45) | 24.83% ( -0.13) | 33.16% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 57.65% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.5% ( 0.51) | 45.51% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.17% ( 0.48) | 67.84% ( -0.48) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.33% ( 0.43) | 21.67% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.19% ( 0.66) | 54.81% ( -0.66) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( 0.05) | 26.4% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% ( 0.07) | 61.56% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Portimonense |
2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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