Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Chaves has a probability of 35.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Chaves win is 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Chaves |
37.78% ( 0.1) | 26.72% ( 0) | 35.5% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 51.79% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.75% ( -0.01) | 53.24% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.19% ( -0) | 74.8% ( 0) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.64% ( 0.06) | 27.35% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.18% ( 0.07) | 62.81% ( -0.07) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% ( -0.06) | 28.7% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.47% ( -0.08) | 64.53% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.77% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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