Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
38.74% ( 0.01) | 25.01% ( 0) | 36.26% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57.69% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.28% ( -0) | 45.72% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.96% ( -0) | 68.04% ( 0.01) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.62% ( 0) | 23.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.65% ( 0) | 57.35% ( 0) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% ( -0) | 24.7% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.76% ( -0.01) | 59.24% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.87% Total : 36.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 94 | 26 | 68 | 89 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 71 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 50 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 38 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 37 | 95 | -58 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |