Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 37.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 2-0 (4.85%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
39.75% ( -0) | 22.45% ( 0) | 37.8% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 67.55% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.01% ( 0.01) | 32.99% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.29% ( 0.01) | 54.72% ( -0) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.61% ( 0) | 17.39% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.19% ( 0) | 47.81% ( 0) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.77% ( 0.01) | 18.23% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.74% ( 0.01) | 49.26% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 8.26% 1-0 @ 5.55% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 39.75% | 1-1 @ 9.44% 2-2 @ 7.03% 0-0 @ 3.17% 3-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-1 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.99% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.11% 3-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 94 | 26 | 68 | 89 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 71 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 50 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 38 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 37 | 95 | -58 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |