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League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The DW Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Wigan
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Magennis (30'), Smith (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McCormick (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 2-1 Bristol Rovers

Heading into the final day with plenty of confidence in the camp following back-to-back wins, we back Wigan Athletic to prevail in a third straight victory to end a pleasing League One campaign under Shaun Maloney. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBristol Rovers
44.81% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04) 25.97% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 29.22% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.11% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.09% (0.104 0.1)51.9% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (0.09 0.09)73.65% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (0.024000000000001 0.02)23.09% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (0.034999999999997 0.03)56.93% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (0.099000000000004 0.1)32.25% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (0.113 0.11)68.74% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 44.8%
    Bristol Rovers 29.22%
    Draw 25.97%
Wigan AthleticDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 10.91% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.8%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.22%

How you voted: Wigan vs Bristol Rovers

Wigan Athletic
50.0%
Draw
10.0%
Bristol Rovers
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bristol Rovers
4-1
Wigan
Thomas (13'), Hunt (25'), Collins (53'), Marquis (68')
Thomas (28'), Marquis (36'), Hoole (90+1')
Wyke (20')
Rekik (45+5'), Wyke (81')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Wigan
McCormick (69')
Lang (50'), Wootton (90+5')
Wootton (25'), Robinson (59'), Massey (88')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 14
Wigan
0-0
Bristol Rovers
Tilt (61'), Merrie (72'), Perry (88')
Hare (76')
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Sep 16, 2017 3pm
Wigan
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Powell (30'), Grigg (49'), Massey (90')
Morsy (67'), Jacobs (72')

Sweeney (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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